Caerleon vs Llwydcoed AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
TAF
4 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
43%
25%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 2
GOY
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 0
TON
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Llwydcoed AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LLW
0 - 2
ERA
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BFC
5 - 1
LLW
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
LLW
0 - 2
BRI
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
DIN
1 - 0
LLW
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
LLW
1 - 2
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |