Caerleon vs Caldicot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 2
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 3
TAF
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
LID
1 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
PON
1 - 3
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 2
PON
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caldicot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CAL
3 - 1
BRI
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LID
2 - 1
CAL
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 0
BRY
31%
25%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +3 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
NWP
3 - 0
CAL
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CAL
7 - 1
ATG
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |