Caerau Ely vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
58.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+220%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
LID
3 - 0
CAE
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 4
GOY
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 2
LLA
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HAV
5 - 0
CAE
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 2
UND
52%
20%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
PEN
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 2
BRI
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
TAF
0 - 0
PEN
30%
24%
47%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 2
GOY
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
UND
3 - 2
PEN
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -2 |