Caerau Ely vs Cwmaman Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 2
CWM
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
3 - 2
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 1
BAR
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CAE
3 - 2
GOY
42%
22%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
CWM
3 - 3
CAE
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cwmaman Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 1
CWM
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CWM
1 - 2
AFC
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
CWM
1 - 1
CAM
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CWM
1 - 3
CWM
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |