Caen vs Perpignan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CAE
2 - 0
CSL
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
AMI
1 - 1
CAE
32%
28%
41%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
ANG
2 - 1
CAE
21%
28%
51%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
CAE
2 - 1
RED
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
CAE
3 - 1
SPI
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
PER
1 - 1
DUN
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
PER
1 - 0
CHA
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
AMI
3 - 2
PER
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
PER
1 - 0
CSL
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
ANG
2 - 0
PER
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |