Ligue 2 Round 29

Caen vs Metz analysis

Caen Metz
72 ELO 84
-7.1% Tilt 12.4%
1395º General ELO ranking 310º
41º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
18%
Caen
26.2%
Draw
55.9%
Metz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
Caen
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
55.9%
Win probability
Metz
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caen
-30%
+13%
Metz

Points and table prediction

Caen
Their league position
Metz
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
13º
18º
18º
65
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lorient
71
71
100%
Paris FC
69
69
100%
Metz
65
65
100%
Dunkerque
56
56
100%
Guingamp
55
55
100%
Annecy
51
51
100%
Stade Lavallois
50
50
100%
Bastia
48
48
100%
Grenoble
46
46
100%
Troyes
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Amiens SC
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Ajaccio
12º
42
42
12º
0%
Pau FC
13º
42
42
13º
0%
Rodez
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Red Star
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Clermont
16º
33
33
16º
100%
FC Martigues
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Caen
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Caen
Metz
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Caen
Metz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caen
Caen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2025
PFC
Paris FC
4 - 2
Caen
CAE
61%
22%
17%
72 82 10 0
14 Mar. 2025
AMI
Amiens SC
2 - 1
Caen
CAE
38%
27%
35%
72 72 0 0
07 Mar. 2025
CAE
Caen
0 - 1
Stade Lavallois
STL
36%
29%
35%
72 77 5 0
28 Feb. 2025
CLE
Clermont
0 - 1
Caen
CAE
53%
25%
22%
72 79 7 0
22 Feb. 2025
CAE
Caen
2 - 2
Pau FC
PAU
34%
27%
39%
71 74 3 +1

Matches

Metz
Metz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2025
MET
Metz
2 - 1
Troyes
TRO
62%
22%
16%
84 78 6 0
15 Mar. 2025
DUN
Dunkerque
2 - 3
Metz
MET
34%
28%
39%
84 79 5 0
08 Mar. 2025
MET
Metz
5 - 1
Annecy
ANN
59%
23%
18%
83 76 7 +1
01 Mar. 2025
AMI
Amiens SC
1 - 2
Metz
MET
23%
27%
50%
83 73 10 0
22 Feb. 2025
MET
Metz
0 - 1
Ajaccio
AJA
66%
22%
13%
83 71 12 0