Caen vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
LHA
1 - 1
CAE
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAE
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
CAE
2 - 1
FCG
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
NIO
0 - 3
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
BRC
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
IST
1 - 0
LOR
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 1
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SED
2 - 1
LOR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 1
AMI
59%
25%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |