Caen vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
51.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ARL
3 - 2
CAE
20%
26%
55%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CAE
2 - 3
ASN
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
LIL
4 - 1
CAE
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAE
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CAE
0 - 0
MON
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
MPL
2 - 1
LIL
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LIL
3 - 1
BRE
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
LSO
2 - 2
LIL
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
LIL
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
LIL
4 - 1
CAE
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |