Caen vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 2
VAL
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
TFC
2 - 3
CAE
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
DIJ
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
CAE
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 2
PAU
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LHA
2 - 0
DIJ
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
NÎM
0 - 1
LHA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
LHA
1 - 0
QUE
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 1
LHA
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
LHA
1 - 1
TFC
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |