Ligue 2 Round 9

Caen vs Guingamp analysis

Caen Guingamp
69 ELO 70
-4.8% Tilt 1.9%
1411º General ELO ranking 612º
42º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
42.9%
Caen
26.7%
Draw
30.5%
Guingamp

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
Caen
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.5%
Win probability
Guingamp
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caen
-15%
-3%
Guingamp

Points and table prediction

Caen
Their league position
Guingamp
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
16º
51
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auxerre
74
74
100%
Angers SCO
68
68
100%
Saint-Étienne
65
65
100%
Rodez
60
60
100%
Paris FC
59
59
100%
Caen
58
58
100%
Stade Lavallois
55
55
100%
Amiens SC
53
53
100%
Guingamp
51
51
0%
Pau FC
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Grenoble
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Girondins Bordeaux
12º
50
51
12º
0%
Bastia
13º
50
51
13º
0%
Annecy
14º
46
46
14º
0%
Ajaccio
15º
46
46
15º
100%
USL Dunkerque
16º
46
46
16º
0%
Troyes
17º
41
44
17º
100%
QRM
18º
38
38
18º
0%
Concarneau
19º
38
38
19º
0%
Valenciennes
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Caen
Guingamp
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Caen
Guingamp
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caen
Caen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2023
CAE
Caen
1 - 2
Grenoble
GRE
56%
26%
18%
70 67 3 0
16 Sep. 2023
CAE
Caen
1 - 2
Saint-Étienne
ASS
39%
26%
35%
71 71 0 -1
02 Sep. 2023
STL
Stade Lavallois
2 - 1
Caen
CAE
29%
27%
44%
71 64 7 0
26 Aug. 2023
CAE
Caen
3 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
54%
26%
20%
71 67 4 0
19 Aug. 2023
CON
Concarneau
0 - 2
Caen
CAE
35%
28%
38%
71 67 4 0

Matches

Guingamp
Guingamp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2023
GUI
Guingamp
0 - 0
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
35%
26%
39%
70 73 3 0
23 Sep. 2023
STL
Stade Lavallois
2 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
34%
27%
39%
70 65 5 0
18 Sep. 2023
GUI
Guingamp
3 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
56%
25%
19%
69 66 3 +1
02 Sep. 2023
AMI
Amiens SC
4 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
30%
27%
43%
71 64 7 -2
26 Aug. 2023
GUI
Guingamp
4 - 0
Pau FC
PAU
53%
26%
22%
70 66 4 +1