Caen vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAE
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
NIC
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ASN
2 - 0
CAE
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ASN
4 - 2
CAE
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAE
0 - 2
ASS
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 1
GIR
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DIJ
3 - 3
GUI
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
ANG
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
GUI
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LYO
1 - 3
GUI
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |