Ligue 2 Round 18

Caen vs USL Dunkerque analysis

Caen USL Dunkerque
71 ELO 61
-5.1% Tilt 9%
1113º General ELO ranking 564º
42º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
58.4%
Caen
23.5%
Draw
18.1%
USL Dunkerque

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
Caen
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.1%
Win probability
USL Dunkerque
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caen
-15%
+8%
USL Dunkerque

Points and table prediction

Caen
Their league position
USL Dunkerque
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
16º
46
20º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auxerre
74
74
100%
Angers SCO
68
68
100%
Saint-Étienne
65
65
100%
Rodez
60
60
100%
Paris FC
59
59
100%
Caen
58
58
100%
Stade Lavallois
55
55
100%
Amiens SC
53
53
100%
Guingamp
51
51
0%
Pau FC
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Grenoble
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Girondins Bordeaux
12º
50
51
12º
0%
Bastia
13º
50
51
13º
0%
Annecy
14º
46
46
14º
0%
Ajaccio
15º
46
46
15º
100%
USL Dunkerque
16º
46
46
16º
0%
Troyes
17º
41
44
17º
100%
QRM
18º
38
38
18º
0%
Concarneau
19º
38
38
19º
0%
Valenciennes
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Caen
USL Dunkerque
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Caen
USL Dunkerque
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caen
Caen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2023
RCC
RC Calais
1 - 4
Caen
CAE
4%
10%
87%
70 10 60 0
06 Dec. 2023
ANN
Annecy
1 - 2
Caen
CAE
36%
26%
38%
70 66 4 0
02 Dec. 2023
CAE
Caen
1 - 0
Bastia
BAS
44%
26%
29%
69 68 1 +1
27 Nov. 2023
ANG
Angers SCO
3 - 0
Caen
CAE
45%
26%
29%
70 72 2 -1
18 Nov. 2023
LPL
Loon-Plage
0 - 3
Caen
CAE
4%
10%
86%
69 16 53 +1

Matches

USL Dunkerque
USL Dunkerque
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2023
REI
Reims Sainte-Anne
1 - 1
USL Dunkerque
DUN
8%
14%
78%
62 38 24 0
05 Dec. 2023
DUN
USL Dunkerque
0 - 5
Bastia
BAS
31%
27%
42%
63 68 5 -1
02 Dec. 2023
PAU
Pau FC
1 - 1
USL Dunkerque
DUN
56%
24%
21%
63 68 5 0
25 Nov. 2023
DUN
USL Dunkerque
0 - 2
Stade Lavallois
STL
32%
28%
40%
63 68 5 0
18 Nov. 2023
CHA
FC Chaumont
0 - 1
USL Dunkerque
DUN
5%
11%
84%
63 18 45 0