Caen vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SOC
3 - 2
CAE
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 2
CAE
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 0
GUI
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AUX
2 - 2
CAE
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
PFC
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
AMI
0 - 1
AJA
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRE
49%
28%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LHA
0 - 1
AJA
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 0
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 1
AJA
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |