Caen U19 vs Valenciennes U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 0
LIL
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LMA
1 - 2
CAE
23%
23%
55%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LAV
2 - 1
CAE
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 1
HAV
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAE
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LMA
1 - 3
VAL
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
4 - 2
LEH
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 2
PSG
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +5 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 0
VAL
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAE
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |