Caen PTT vs FC Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
10º
13º
12º
52
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 1
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAI
3 - 1
CAE
60%
20%
21%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
AGC
36%
23%
42%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
CAE
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 2
DIV
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
FC Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FBB
1 - 0
BRE
77%
15%
9%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FBB
1 - 1
AJA
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
FBB
22%
23%
54%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FBB
1 - 0
OIS
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 1
FBB
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |