Caen II vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ROM
0 - 1
CAE
34%
26%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
3 - 2
BLO
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 4
STP
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAE
4 - 0
VOL
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 1
BLO
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
STP
1 - 0
LOR
51%
27%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 0
PLA
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 0
LOR
25%
28%
47%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
VER
37%
29%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |