Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-4
Cádiz vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 1
SRQ
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 4
CAD
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAD
3 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 0
CFB
83%
13%
5%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SEV
1 - 0
CAD
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BET
2 - 1
VCF
27%
26%
47%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
CHL
3 - 0
VCF
64%
20%
16%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 2
VCF
24%
25%
52%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
VCF
7 - 0
GNK
73%
16%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |