Cádiz vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAD
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 1
PAL
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAD
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAD
4 - 0
SRQ
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SEV
1 - 3
CAD
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 1
VIL
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CRD
1 - 0
LUC
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 1
LUC
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
LUC
52%
25%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |