Cachorros U. De G. vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cachorros U. De G.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
REB
1 - 2
CAC
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
CAC
2 - 2
TEP
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 1
CAC
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CAC
3 - 0
PAC
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 0
CAC
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 0
ZAC
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
REB
1 - 3
TOL
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 2
TEP
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 1
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |