Cacheiras vs Carcacia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacheiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MLL
1 - 5
CAC
49%
20%
31%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAC
1 - 0
EXT
38%
23%
40%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAC
2 - 1
URD
47%
25%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 2
CAC
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAC
1 - 0
RES
31%
23%
46%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Carcacia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
5 - 2
SAL
34%
22%
44%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 2
CAR
81%
12%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
ABA
35%
21%
44%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LUA
4 - 3
CAR
67%
18%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |