4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Cabrils C vs Canet A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
39.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabrils C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
CAB
4 - 2
SUF
84%
11%
6%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAB
12%
16%
72%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CAB
1 - 0
CVM
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CMA
2 - 0
CAB
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAB
3 - 0
CAN
34%
20%
46%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Canet A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
AJU
0 - 1
CAN
13%
16%
71%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CAN
6 - 0
MOL
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CAN
3 - 0
LLA
91%
6%
3%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAB
3 - 0
CAN
34%
20%
46%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CAN
4 - 0
ARE
89%
7%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |