Rio Cup Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Cabofriense vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
RES
0 - 1
CAB
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 1
RES
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
BEL
59%
20%
20%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 1
SFC
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 1
CAB
25%
21%
55%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 3
OLA
47%
24%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CMA
0 - 0
OLA
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
OLA
3 - 3
BOA
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OLA
1 - 1
CMA
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OLA
1 - 0
DUQ
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |