Cabofriense vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
CAB
1 - 0
AUD
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
AME
1 - 1
CAB
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
OLA
2 - 0
CAB
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 0
OLA
21%
24%
56%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
RES
0 - 1
CAB
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
AME
3 - 1
ADC
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
ADC
0 - 0
PER
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PET
2 - 0
ADC
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 1
AME
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
OLA
2 - 1
ADC
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |