Cape Verde vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
AND
1 - 2
CPV
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
CPV
2 - 2
MOZ
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
CMR
0 - 0
CPV
67%
22%
11%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MRT
2 - 1
CPV
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CPV
0 - 0
MRT
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 1
GIN
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GIN
2 - 0
NAM
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
MLI
2 - 2
GIN
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
GIN
1 - 0
SEN
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
GIN
2 - 3
CHL
16%
24%
60%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |