AFCON Qualifying Group B Round 5

Cape Verde vs Burkina Faso analysis

Cape Verde Burkina Faso
70 ELO 76
-6.2% Tilt -18.3%
1482º General ELO ranking 1115º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.2%
Cape Verde
28.2%
Draw
36.6%
Burkina Faso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
Cape Verde
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.6%
Win probability
Burkina Faso
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cape Verde
+13%
-9%
Burkina Faso

ELO progression

Cape Verde
Burkina Faso
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cape Verde
Cape Verde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2023
MAR
Morocco
0 - 0
Cape Verde
CPV
79%
15%
6%
69 88 19 0
28 Mar. 2023
SWZ
Swaziland
0 - 1
Cape Verde
CPV
25%
26%
49%
68 57 11 +1
24 Mar. 2023
CPV
Cape Verde
0 - 0
Swaziland
SWZ
63%
21%
16%
69 57 12 -1
23 Sep. 2022
BHR
Bahrain
1 - 2
Cape Verde
CPV
68%
20%
12%
68 78 10 +1
27 Jul. 2022
CPV
Cape Verde
2 - 1
Sierra Leone
SLE
54%
24%
23%
67 63 4 +1

Matches

Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2023
TOG
Togo
1 - 1
Burkina Faso
BFA
26%
28%
46%
77 64 13 0
24 Mar. 2023
BFA
Burkina Faso
1 - 0
Togo
TOG
69%
19%
12%
77 64 13 0
19 Nov. 2022
BFA
Burkina Faso
2 - 1
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
26%
26%
48%
76 86 10 +1
27 Sep. 2022
BFA
Burkina Faso
2 - 1
Comoros
COM
80%
14%
7%
76 51 25 0
23 Sep. 2022
COD
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
0 - 1
Burkina Faso
BFA
44%
27%
30%
76 72 4 0