Cabecense vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CAN
3 - 2
CAB
26%
25%
50%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CAB
2 - 1
EST
58%
21%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
UTR
1 - 0
CAB
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CAB
1 - 1
MAI
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
JDB
1 - 2
CAB
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
UDM
1 - 1
VIS
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 1
UDM
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
UDM
2 - 1
LEB
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 6
UDM
30%
25%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CAM
0 - 0
UDM
31%
26%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |