Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DYJ
0 - 2
VEL
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 4
GOD
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 0
VEL
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIV
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
VEL
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SLO
4 - 0
EST
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 0
SLO
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SLO
4 - 0
BEL
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
NOB
3 - 1
SLO
51%
27%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 0
BOC
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |