Vélez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
21.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 1
LDU
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 1
VEL
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 0
ARG
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BOC
3 - 2
VEL
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 2
VEL
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
NOB
2 - 1
EST
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
GOD
1 - 1
NOB
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NOB
3 - 0
ATT
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BAN
2 - 1
NOB
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LAN
0 - 2
NOB
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |