Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 0
VEL
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
VEL
4 - 1
CHA
61%
23%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
VEL
2 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 1
VEL
40%
26%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 0
VEL
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
LAN
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ARG
4 - 3
IND
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
IND
2 - 3
BOC
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
HUR
0 - 0
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 3
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |