Vélez Sarsfield vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAU
0 - 2
VEL
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
DYJ
3 - 2
VEL
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
BEL
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
GLP
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 0
SMA
51%
25%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 1
EST
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TEM
1 - 1
CEN
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ATT
2 - 1
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 1
COL
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |