River Plate vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
BIN
0 - 6
RIV
20%
22%
58%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 2
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
RIV
8 - 0
BIN
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ATT
1 - 1
RIV
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
LIG
3 - 0
RIV
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SCI
1 - 1
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
LIG
4 - 2
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 2
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
BRA
63%
23%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |