River Plate vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
MIA
1 - 5
RIV
7%
15%
78%
|
83 | 43 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
ATT
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
GLP
2 - 1
RIV
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 3
NOB
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 0
CAU
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2017 |
SFE
2 - 2
MIL
36%
29%
36%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 0
SFE
50%
26%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SFE
1 - 1
TOL
45%
29%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 1
SFE
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
SFE
4 - 1
JAG
46%
29%
25%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |