River Plate vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1966 |
RIV
1 - 0
VEL
67%
19%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
ATL
0 - 3
RIV
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
RIV
1 - 0
SLO
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1966 |
RIV
3 - 1
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1966 |
IND
3 - 0
LAN
58%
22%
19%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
QUI
0 - 0
IND
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1966 |
IND
0 - 0
BOC
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1966 |
IND
2 - 1
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
IND
4 - 0
COL
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |