River Plate vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1957 |
LAN
0 - 0
RIV
42%
23%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1957 |
RIV
2 - 1
CEN
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1957 |
RIV
1 - 1
SLO
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1957 |
VEL
2 - 2
RIV
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1957 |
RIV
4 - 1
ATL
75%
15%
11%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1957 |
GLP
1 - 3
BOC
42%
25%
34%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1957 |
LAN
2 - 2
GLP
70%
17%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1957 |
GLP
0 - 1
EST
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1957 |
CEN
4 - 1
GLP
61%
20%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1957 |
GLP
1 - 1
NOB
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |