River Plate vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1999 |
CHA
4 - 4
RIV
22%
24%
53%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1999 |
RIV
1 - 0
RAC
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1999 |
TAL
1 - 4
RIV
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1999 |
RIV
2 - 0
GLP
60%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
CAU
1 - 2
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1999 |
FER
2 - 2
GIM
43%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1999 |
VEL
6 - 1
FER
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1999 |
FER
0 - 0
ARG
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1999 |
LAN
0 - 2
FER
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
FER
0 - 2
IND
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |