River Plate vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 0
RIV
31%
28%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
BOC
0 - 0
RIV
40%
27%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
OLI
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 1
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIV
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BOC
3 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
BOC
0 - 0
RIV
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOC
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BOC
2 - 0
TIG
56%
25%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 4
BOC
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |