River Plate vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 1
RIV
41%
29%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 0
NOB
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 2
RIV
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
LAN
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
3 - 2
RIV
40%
29%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 2
QUI
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
ARG
0 - 0
RAF
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 2
RAC
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
RAF
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
RAF
3 - 1
VEL
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |