CA Lugano vs Dep. Paraguayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 1
VIC
65%
22%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
LUG
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
ARR
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
CES
0 - 1
LUG
15%
25%
61%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALE
49%
27%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
DPA
3 - 0
CES
82%
14%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
DPA
0 - 0
MUÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
DPA
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 0
DPA
44%
27%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
DPA
1 - 1
YUP
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |