Copa Sudamericana Playoffs 1/32
Global 5-4
Lanús vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
RAC
3 - 1
LAN
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 0
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
GOD
4 - 1
LAN
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
LAN
31%
29%
40%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
PAT
62%
24%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 2
SPC
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 1
SRP
49%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 3
SPC
37%
26%
38%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SPC
2 - 1
UCH
28%
23%
49%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 0
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |