Lanús vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
VEL
3 - 2
LAN
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
LAN
2 - 1
BAN
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
NOB
1 - 0
LAN
44%
23%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1953 |
LAN
1 - 1
EST
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1953 |
RAC
1 - 1
LAN
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
SLO
2 - 3
CEN
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
GLP
1 - 2
SLO
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
SLO
1 - 1
IND
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1953 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLO
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1953 |
SLO
1 - 4
RIV
42%
22%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |