Lanús vs Real Pilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12%
3.5%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 1
DYJ
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
IND
0 - 1
LAN
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 3
DYJ
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
LAN
3 - 0
VEL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 0
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
RPI
0 - 0
ITU
66%
21%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
RPI
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
RPI
2 - 0
CAÑ
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
LAF
2 - 3
RPI
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
RPI
6 - 0
LAM
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |