Lanús vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ATT
0 - 0
LAN
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 5
RIV
19%
26%
55%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NOB
2 - 0
LAN
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 1
RAC
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 0
LAN
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 2
IND
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 1
TAL
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SLO
3 - 2
PAT
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 2
GLP
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 0
PAT
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |