Lanús vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SLO
2 - 2
LAN
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 2
DYJ
39%
29%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
DHA
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 0
JUN
42%
29%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 2
UNI
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
RAF
4 - 1
DEF
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
RAF
13%
19%
68%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
RAF
4 - 1
SAS
93%
6%
1%
|
70 | 18 | 52 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BRO
0 - 0
RAF
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |