Independiente II vs CD Universitario II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
2º
23
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAP
0 - 2
IDC
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
IDC
6 - 1
ACH
84%
12%
5%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
VCD
4 - 1
IDC
19%
23%
59%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
HFC
0 - 5
IDC
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 3
IDC
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Universitario II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CDU
1 - 2
UDP
25%
24%
50%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
SFF
1 - 2
CDU
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CDU
3 - 1
OES
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CDU
1 - 2
NAC
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
CDU
2 - 0
HFC
55%
21%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |