Boca Juniors vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 2
OLI
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
TIG
1 - 1
BOC
37%
27%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 2
BOC
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 1
QUI
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GOD
1 - 1
BOC
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
IND
22%
28%
51%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
0 - 0
SAR
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
NOB
28%
29%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
SAR
71%
20%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
ARS
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |