Copa Libertadores Playoffs. Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Boca Juniors vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 0
CEN
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 2
BOC
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 1
BOC
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
BOC
3 - 1
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 1
GLP
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
CEA
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
58%
24%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAL
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
COL
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 1
CRZ
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |