Copa Libertadores . Final
Global 0-2
Boca Juniors vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1979 |
OLI
2 - 0
BOC
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1979 |
CEN
1 - 1
BOC
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1979 |
BOC
1 - 0
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1979 |
BOC
0 - 0
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1979 |
OLI
2 - 0
BOC
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1979 |
GUA
1 - 1
OLI
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1979 |
OLI
3 - 0
PAL
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
PAL
0 - 2
OLI
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
OLI
2 - 1
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |