Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1959 |
BOC
3 - 1
RAC
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
CEN
2 - 1
BOC
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1959 |
BOC
2 - 2
LAN
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
HUR
1 - 0
BOC
37%
24%
38%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
BOC
1 - 2
FER
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1959 |
GLP
3 - 1
CEN
57%
20%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
LAN
1 - 1
GLP
60%
19%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1959 |
GLP
4 - 3
HUR
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
FER
3 - 2
GLP
57%
21%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
GLP
3 - 2
ARG
54%
20%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |