Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 1
BOC
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 0
QUI
48%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ARG
0 - 0
BOC
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 0
RAC
54%
26%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 0
BOC
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
LAN
34%
30%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
CEN
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 1
ARS
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TIG
2 - 0
CEN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 2
SLO
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |