Boca Juniors vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BOC
2 - 1
TIG
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 0
BOC
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 0
BOC
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BOC
4 - 2
SMA
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
BAN
0 - 1
BOC
33%
26%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 1
RIV
24%
25%
50%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 1
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 2
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 2
GOD
54%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |